APEX Investment (Crypto)

Crypto & Bitcoin Market Cap
Crypto & Bitcoin Market Cap close to the Top of the World - $3.42Trillion
   
   Peak Detector 

World Investment
■ A total of 900$Trillion of Investment Funds is looking for the best Investments: 
 
Basic Investment choices:
Below is an overview of the main investment options and their 4 years returns: (all show some periods of losses!)
 

Dow Jones Stock Index 4 Year Returns:
Shows many dangerous drawdowns of 35%(2008, 1980, 1975, 1968) or even 85% (1933): 
 
The last 90 Years in the Stock Market(Dow Jones) have had a 25 year period with a 89% loss (1931) - are you ready for that again?

S&P500 Stock Index 4 Year Returns:
Shows many dangerous drawdowns of 40%(2009, 2003, 1974) or even 80% (1932): 


 
Gold 4 Year Returns:
Shows many dangerous drawdowns of 40%(2015, 2000, 1992, 1985)
 



USA Median Housing Price(MSPUS) 4 Year Returns:
Shows a dangerous drawdown of 12%(2011) and a few near zero returns (1971, 1993, 2020)


20 Year US Treasuries (TLT) 4 Year Returns:
Shows many dangerous drawdowns of 40%(2015, 2000, 1992, 1985)
 


Gold is NOT protecting against inflation:
Gold vs Mediam House Price (MSPUS) - number of Gold oz needed to buy a median USA House is stable around 350 oz (between 100 and 630oz):
 

Gold vs Oil Price (oz per Oil Barrel=42Gallons) - in range 6.5 to 40oz - Average 17oz) 
 




The Big Change: Bitcoin Investment 4 Year Returns:
Bitcoin is the ONLY investment in the world which has never lost in a 4 year period
instead it gained on average 1200%(12x) - worst result is 160%(2.6x) after 4 years - best 4000%(40x):

  

Bitcoin vs Gold
 


Bitcoin vs SP500 Stock Index
reaching parity (1x) May 2017 and now 12x:
 


Bitcoin vs NASDAQ Stock Index
reaching parity (1x) Oct 2017 and now close to 4x:


Bitcoin vs Dow Jones Stock Index
reaching half parity (50%) Dec 2017 and now close to 1.5x:


Dow Jones had many dangerous drawdowns of 35% or even 85%: 




Bitcoin vs Median USA House Price(MSPUS)
reaching now less than 5 bitcoins to buy an medium house - from 2000x in Jul 2023 (FRED:MSPUS / BITSTAMP:BTCUSD) 

 
In 2017 you needed 115 Bitcoin to buy the mediam House - but now you need only 7 Bitcoin!!!  (switch SATS off) 
Risk vs Reward Comparison 
Bloomberg/Haver Analytics Research 



Fastest Fund inflow in History & Bitcoin ETF Accumulation
■ These Bitcoin ETF's are the most successful Fund launches ever since launch Jan11,2024: Avg $500mill/day - surpassing the $27Billion of previous ETF (Gold etc)   
First gold ETF took 2 years to hit $10B, this Bitcoin ETF did it in 2 months   LarryFink(IBIT) Fastest growing ETF in HISTORY! I am very bulling on the long term viability of Bitcoin. Unexpected Retail Demand    

■ The ETFs accumulatied 450,000 BTC Worth Over $30B in 45 days = or 11 times the daily BTC production - 10,000 BTC each day on average - but only 900 are produced each day!
■ Best ETF Funds in the entire 30 year History


■ This was only possible because GBTC with 600,000BTC sold appox 50% to these ETF's, but very soon these GBTC Bitcoion will run out and BTC price has to explode!
LargeWallets:
RichList + Tether(75k=$5Bill)  Mr100BTC(57k=$4Bill)   MSTR(214k=$14.8Bill) + RobinHood(134k=10$Bill) + GovtBitfinex(94k=$$4bill) )
Mysterious Mr 100BTC has bought $3.5Billion in 53,610 Bitcoins in the last 3+months - Average price of $65,985   
  



  
■ Only ~235,000 people in the world have currently at least one Bitcoin - I have 1.8(0.75 + 1.05)BTC +
■ There are ~56Million Millionaires in the World    

■ Vanguard CEO Tim Buckley to retire by year-end after a distinguished 33-year career, including more than six years as CEO Mar 1,2024 after claiming:
   "Bitcoin Is Too Volatile And It's Not A Store Of Value" - Not offering ANY Bitcoin ETF 
   $7.2Trillion asset manager Vanguard continues to shun Bitcoin ETFs as CEO announces retirement
   
 “What surprises me most is they announced Buckley’s retirement without naming a successor,” said Jeff DeMaso, editor of The Independent Vanguard Advisor.
 “Why not wait three months, find a successor and make just one announcement?” he added. 
Vanguard CEO was fired because of missing the Bitcoin Investment opportunity:
   "Vanguard CEO Tim Buckley Says "Bitcoin Is Too Volatile And It's Not A Store Of Value" — Asks If It Belongs In A Long Term Portfolio" 

Bitcoin Price Pattern:
Current Bitcoin Price Chart    
  




BTC:16k(Nov22) 32k(Oct23+One Year) 48k(Feb12+4Month) 64k(Feb28+2Weeks)

Bitcoin is the HARDEST & RAREST ASSET on the Planet!
Bitcoin: takes 120years to rebuild 19.6mill inventory: 144 blocks/day (10minutes/block) x 3.125 = 450/day 
   64,300/year - previous 4 years 900/day   = 328,700/year = 60years
   Bitcoin production will crash from 900 to 450 per day Apr 20, 2024 
■ On Apr 20th only 450 BTC will be procduced each day  exploding the price over time to DOUBLE!
■ Imagine a permanent Oil Embargo every 4 years! 
   
Halving Clock  
■ Returns after Halving 6, 12, 18months


Gold:
Takes 65 years to recreate gold inventory: 201,296 tonnes inventory / 3,100 tonnes/year  200Year Chart    doubled from only ~1500 tonnes:
    
Silver:
Takes 67 years to recreate full silver ever mined inventory(no storage):  1,740,000 tonnes / 25,790 tonnes/year - but only 610,000 tonnes = 26years left! 

OIL
■ Imagine a permanent Oil Embargo every 4 years!  - also doubled recently:  
 


 
last "Stable" Period:
Hyperinflation after last "Stable" Period:
You are here. 1921. A simple graph of the German Weimar Republic hyperinflation.
We're at the, inflation is transitory everything is fine stage in the graph.
We can't fully understand how hyperbolic this chart is yet. No fiat currency has ever withstood the test of time.
 


Bitcoin Ownership Distribution

Bitcoin ownership overview 




Decentralization
ADA vs BTC Decentralization:  @LucisCIC  

See Nakamoto Coefficient 
 

MicroStrategy(MSTR)
MicroStrategy(MSTR) started to accumulate now 214,246 bitcoins for $7.53Bill (avg 35,150/BTC) now 65,000 or $13.9Bill - a 85% gain
MicroStrategy(MSTR) market cap went from 1.2Bill(2020) to $27Bill in 4 years 
MicroStrategy listing in the S&P 500 index could expose millions to Bitcoin - MSTR will be soon in the SP500 Index - which means Bitcoin is then part of the SPY Index! 
 

World Investment
■ A total of 900$Trillion of Investment Funds is looking for the best Investments: 
 
Bitcoin S Adoption Curve still very early
■ S Curve still very early:
 

Bitcoin HODL Wave
Highest HODL Wave in Bitcoins History
 
 

My Holdings & Performance 
My portfolio contains
■ contains BTC (18%) ETH(10%) ADA(71.5%) SOL(1.5%)
■ Overall return after ONLY 6 Months is already 109% ($121k profit) 
 


■ MSTR + IBIT returned already  ~$10,397 after 10 days 

   

Money Characteristics
Bitcoin is the best Money Invented 
Valuable: Diamonds, Rolex Watches, Paintings, Baseball Cards, Baseball Catch,


Apple (AAPL)
Price Volatility is NORMAL for new startup and new technologies - Example AAPLE Computer (AAPL)
Profit went from $94Bill (2015) to 173B(2024) 84% but price went from $30 to $180 = 600% 


USA Govt Spending out of control:
 
 


Real Estate Peaking 
■ Can only sell entire house - not only a portion!
■ When price appreciates - you pay more taxes + Insurance etc
■ House costs Maintenance (Roof, Garage Door, AC, Patio, Paint etc)  
■ Increasing House Insurance
■ Golden prison:L bought with 3.5% APR - cannot sell because new house now 7+% Mortage rates!  
■ HOA Fees

 
ElSalvador 
Govt Bitcoin Dashboard 
El Salvador new Singapore IMF Slavery 
El Salvador paid off its debt to the IMF 900 million dollars because of their investment in Bitcoin to be launching hopefully the Bitcoin mining from volcano energy volcanic volcanic energy so super energy friendly way to mine Bitcoin 
El Salvador Volcano Bond up 200%    
El Salvador Has Thousands More Bitcoins Than Previously Known Wallet 5705BTC  32ixEdVJWo3kmvJGMTZq5jAQVZZeuwnqzo
El Salvador pays back maturing $800 million bond  
■ One particularly interesting development that combines infrastructure investment with international business partnerships is the Lava Pool, a public-private partnership launched in October 2023 to mine Bitcoin with geothermal energy.
   The project will combine Luxor’s experience with mining-related support and software development with Volcano Energy’s commitment to building the actual hardware infrastructure.
   The first ground broken on this project has involved the construction of new mining facilities in El Salvador’s second-largest city, Metapán, and although this preliminary mining pool is powered by solar and wind energy,
   the ultimate goal is to harness El Salvador’s substantial volcanic activity
How Is El Salvador's Bitcoin Legal Tender Stance Viewed by the IMF?  
El Salvador 85% President Vote crushing gangs & crime
How the World’s Most Dangerous Country Solved Murder  
The IMF wants El Salvador to choose between Bitcoin and a bailout 

My BTC Mining 2014:
Dec 27, 2013:  BAX1 Black Arrow Prospero X-1 (100Gh/s)  (2) @ $352 / 0.5319BTC = $704 / 1.0638BTC   Subtotal: $704 / 1.0638BTC   Shipping $50 / 0.0755BTC Order Total: $754 / 1.1392BTC  
Mar 5, 2014: Transfer from IC 2.00 BTC @  $592.35 each+2x$6 Fee Feb 27, TrxCode FJAMRX06
 






■ Only approx. 3% of the Bitcoin holder use the safe cold storage  
■ 27Trillion Gorillas enter the Crypto/Bitcoin Market:
 
Live Transactions
Live Transactions 
Mempool
Cardano  
World Map BTC ETH ADA  
Mining explained 
Bitcoin dynamic Block list 
More Crypto info 
■ All Workspaces and Indicator is available for Multicharts here



 


Presenting amazing 303%/Year Investment (Bitcoin) 4+ Year holding period

In this video  we cover the recent 4 Year rolling return for: https://youtu.be/kAcVN1k_iVM 
Bitcoin(BTC) 303% average per year - never a loosing year!
● SP500 Stock Index (SPY) 8.5% average per year - many loosing years
■  Nasdaq
Stock Index (QQQ) 17.3% average per year - a few loosing and many flat years
■ Russwel 2000 Index (IWM) 6.25%
average per year - 4+ loosing years
● Gold (GLD) 4% average per year - many loosing years
● 20Year US Treasury Bond (TLT) 2.5% average per year - huge 40% current loss
● IBIT: Easy to invest Bitcoin ETF Fund (IBIT) - 40% in 30 Days!
■ MSTR current recent 1669% annual return  

The charts show the return for a 4 [or 8] Year rolling forward return and
where created using MultiCharts.com .

Data and detailed spreadsheets etc are available at: pss@pobox.com 

Check out the free: Crypto & Portfolio Monitor (CryptoPortMon-CPM)
https://profsoftware.com/cpm

1 . Bitcoin(BTC) 303% average per year - never a loosing year!  - Average 528% per year - Current 237% per year:





2. SP500 Stock Index (SPY) 8.5% average per year - many loosing years





3. Gold (GLD) 4% average per year - many loosing years
 



4. 20Year US Treasury Bond (TLT) 2.5% average per year - huge 40% current loss